As a mash-up of Ivy league smarts and State school grit we are trying to creating a model of the strategic environment to help forecast capability requirements.
The chart here represents the data being applied to the theory.
Using the evaluations of stability and interdependence a quadrant is created to plot an actor’s application of power relative to the international community. Stability, an actor’s effectiveness of government, creates either a stable or an unstable conditions within their sphere of influence (or national border). Interdependence, is a relation between its actors such that each is mutually dependent on other actors in the system. .
The resulting quadrant is defined in the following categories: interdependent-stable, independent-stable, independent-unstable, and interdependent-unstable.
Our hypothesis is that conflict would occur predominantly by unstable actors behaving unilaterally. Following this, stable actors who are inclined to cooperate with other actors are less prone to conflict. We also postulate that the transition from independent to interdependent and unstable to stable may also result in conflict.